Uganda to Receive More than Usual Rainfall Till End of February – IGAD

By Our Reporter




The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) has predicted that the week running from 22 February – 01 March 2022 will see most parts of Uganda receiving more than usual rains.


ICPAC is IGAD’s Climate Center that provides climate services and supports national institutions to improve their service delivery in areas such as climate forecasting, and monitoring of food security.


In its weekly weather forecast, ICPAC said more than usual rainfall is expected in Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, parts of central Ethiopia, southern South Sudan, and southwestern Kenya.


Meanwhile, heavy rainfall is expected in southern and northern Tanzania and Dry conditions in Somalia, Djibouti, and Sudan.


Warmer than average temperatures expected in equatorial and eastern regions of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).


“Moderate rainfall (50-100mm) expected in most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and few places over south-western Kenya and central Ethiopia. A few regions in southern Tanzania are expected to receive over 200mm.” The statement reads in part.


It also said some parts of Uganda will however witness light rainfall (less than 30 mm) together with other countries like southern South Sudan, coastal and north-western Kenya, northern Somalia, and parts of coastal regions of Eritrea and Sudan.


Sudan, central to northern South Sudan, northern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, central Somalia, and north-eastern Kenya will however continue experiencing dry conditions.


Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 litre of water per square meter.


Rainfall Anomalies


Exceptional Rainfall


Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10-5%) expected over parts of Tanzania, especially the northern (Arusha, Manyara, and Dodoma) and southern (Mtwara and Lindi) regions, and south-western Kenya (Narok and Kajiado).


Temperature Forecast 22 February – o1 March 2022


Mean Temperature


Moderate temperatures (between 20 – 32 ℃) expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, Djibouti, most parts of Eritrea, Somalia, and Tanzania.


Relatively cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in northern Sudan, parts of central Ethiopia, western Kenya, Burundi, and western Rwanda.


Temperature Anomalies


Warmer than normal temperatures expected in the majority of regions in Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, eastern Sudan, and South Sudan.


Colder than normal temperatures expected over central to northern Sudan, parts of western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, most parts of Tanzania, and other isolated areas in the region.

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